The true picture of COVID-19 in Quebec

While a vaccine passport is no longer required to board a plane or train in the country as of June 20, 2022 (but is still required to enter the country) the federal government is also suspending compulsory vaccination for civil servants (who However, it can be reimposed again), let’s paint the true picture of COVID-19 in Quebec.

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The death rate

As of June 19, 2022, the cumulative data for all of Quebec was as follows: 15,462 COVID-19-related deaths ( ) out of a total of 1,077,256 confirmed cases of COVID-19 ( ), for a calculated fatality rate of 1.44%.

This mortality rate is significantly overestimated, primarily by (i) including in the numerator deaths associated with rather than due to COVID-19, apparently in a significant number, and (ii) by excluding asymptomatic or unreported cases in The place. Infection, several times higher than symptomatic infections.

real picture

So what is the real picture of COVID-19 in Quebec?

Official figures from the Quebec Institute of Statistics and the National Institute of Public Health of Quebec (INSPQ), referenced on June 19, 2022, show the following health reality in Quebec:

  1. There hasn’t been any since the start of the COVID-19 epidemic, except for people over 70 during the first wave (April – June 2020) and soon after confinement/coverings were imposed – holiday fire or post 3e Vaccine Dose (January 2022),
  2. More than 90% of 70-year-olds who died from or due to COVID-19 had two or more pre-existing medical conditions ( ),
  3. 69.2% of those who died were over the age of 80 (), bringing the median age of those who died with or from COVID-19 onward,
  4. The number of deaths ( ) compared to the number of cases ( ) is 0.07% in people without a pre-existing condition, 6-fold in those with a pre-existing medical condition (0.4%) and 98 times higher in presence. from two or more pre-existing conditions (6.9%), according to data most recently updated May 2, 2022, and
  5. Between 0 and 5 people under the age of 40 (with fewer than one pre-existing medical condition) have died in Quebec since the beginning of the epidemic ().

Thus, analysis of official government data made it possible to detect two major risk factors for complications and death from COVID-19 fairly early: advanced age and the number of pre-existing medical conditions, in particular obesity.

The threat of COVID-19 was very real, but was it of such magnitude that we were told?

In particular, according to public data available on websites and websites, approximately 2.1% of hospitalizations were for COVID-19 among 1Verse April 2020 and March 31, 2021 in Quebec; 20,616 hospitalizations due to COVID-19 out of a total of 986,607 hospitalizations (this number is down 17.5% from 1,195,554 hospitalizations in the previous year).

In the worst periods of the crisis, COVID-19 hospitalizations peaked at 5.9% of the total.

justified measures?

Does the fact of the pandemic described above justify:

  1. To impose such strict and universal health measures, rather than targeted ones, to constrain the threat to a known class of people?
  2. Not considering, as accurately as possible, the side effects of restrictive health measures?
  3. To exclude clinicians from care and from any risk/benefit assessment of medical intervention (the COVID vaccine) with their patients?
  4. To bypass the right of individuals to consent, in a free and informed manner, to a trial injection always?
  5. Resorting to universal vaccination of the entire population against a disease that particularly affects the elderly and the sick?
  6. To impose a vaccination obligation on young people who are healthy or at no risk of developing complications from COVID-19?
  7. To impose the duty of vaccination on workers (including remote workers) under penalty of dismissal in case of refusal?
  8. To restrict access to public places and impede freedom of movement by train or plane for people who have not been “adequately” vaccinated, while injections neither prevent infection nor transmission, but rather appear to facilitate infection?
  9. That the government take power by declaring itself and perpetuating a state of health emergency and certain measures after the emergency period?
  10. Discouraging maintaining good health by following healthy lifestyle habits?
  11. Not allowing or even encouraging recourse to preventive, early or alternative treatments, as other countries have done?
  12. To silence professionals and academics who criticize health measures, through pressure from their professional system or institution, on pain of losing their right to practice or work?
  13. Is this intense, polarized, and polarized media coverage sowing fear, anxiety and division? where
  14. To encourage the denunciation and social exclusion of a minority of vulnerable persons and the division of society?

Depoliticizing decisions

In the face of the threat posed by COVID-19, although as uncertain as it was expected, the initial precautionary measures were in order, although even before the epidemic reached Quebec, COVID-19 was known to particularly affect the elderly In Italy.

The pandemic has developed over the months, of course, which has prompted the government to review and adapt some measures to the health context at the moment.

However, in some cases it has imposed decisions that go against science (such as a curfew) or have taken too long to do so, such as lifting the latest restrictive health measures.

This reveals the importance of not politicizing decisions that conflict with individual rights and freedoms, for example, through ( ) in government, so that these decisions are based on science and made more quickly.

Balance sheet is needed

Despite the looming election campaign, during which political parties will likely avoid a return to this dark period in Quebec history, we cannot do without a conscience check or deep groupthink to ensure that, next time, the deployment of measures is appropriate and proportionate. It is adaptive to the threat, and is quickly modified if necessary. It will be necessary to avoid leaving in fear when the noses begin to run, as they do every autumn.

It is necessary to conduct an assessment of the management of this crisis, which has exposed the limits, and even the flaws, of our system and our democratic life.

We owe it to many elderly people whom we have failed to protect, as well as to those whose rights and freedoms have been violated for far too long.

The true picture of COVID-19 in Quebec

Patrick Provost, Professor at Laval University

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